Everything points toward Milwaukee holding the edge, beginning with the starting pitching advantage. Harrison has developed into one of the National League’s most reliable arms, especially at home, where he owns a remarkable 1.29 ERA and has consistently worked deep into games. Chicago has managed almost nothing against him historically, batting just .074 as a group.

Laying a juicy price isn’t ideal, but this is a matchup where the favorite deserves to be trusted. Until Chicago proves it can solve Harrison or slow down Milwaukee’s pitching staff, the Brewers remain the play.