Free Picks

Rocketman Sports FREE MLB play Wednesday 9-23-26

Tampa Bay @ NY Yankees (7:05 PM EST)
Play On: NY Yankees -150

The Tampa Bay Rays take on the Yankees in New York on Wednesday night. Tampa Bay is 96-61 SU overall this year while the Yankees come in with a 90-67 SU overall record on the season. The Yankees are 14-7 this year at home vs Division opponents. Gerrit Cole is 1-0 with an 0.75 ERA at home vs Tampa Bay the past 3 years. Cole has a 2.73 ERA against division opponents this season. Ian Seymour is 0-3 with a 5.19 ERA overall over the past month. We'll recommend a small play on the NY Yankees tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky

Rocky Atkinson has his MLB PLAY OF THE DAY going Wednesday. One of the BEST HANDICAPPERS in the world is on an impressive 36-24 60% OVERALL run over his last 62 picks! Join the same handicapper that has made $1,000/game bettors $10,190 since August 01, 2026 with his Money Line on Mets v. Rangers!

Rocky Atkinson has his CFL Game of the Week going Friday. One of the BEST HANDICAPPERS in the world is on an impressive 36-24 60% CFL run over his last 62 picks! Join the same handicapper that has made $1,000/game bettors $10,190 since August 01, 2026 with his Spread on Saskatchewan v. BC!

For my best free pick on the board here for Wednesday in baseball I am looking at the Cleveland Guardians at the Boston Red Sox. Lots to play for as the Guardians fight to make the post season in a big fight with the Chicago White Sox for the division crown. Boston can’t really go up or down here sure they have the better team and pitcher but not too much motivation here to win. Foster Griffin needs a strong start for this Guardians team and I see him getting it then handing off to the bullpen in the 6th or 7th inning.

Play on the Cleveland Guardians on the ML rotation #967

***DO NOT MISS MY NFL BEST BET ON THURSDAY I AM ON A 40-21 66% NFL BEST BET RUN***

8 pm. the (618) New York Liberty (26-17) lost on the second of a back-to-back to the rested (615) Atlanta Dream (29-14). The Dream hold the tiebreaker over the Fever for the 4th seed and have no advantage even playing this game. The Liberty will be on the road, so the home fans will see the starters for the first half, and then I expect this team to rest up. Take the under.

This is a strong revenge spot for New York. These teams met just two nights ago at Barclays Center, where Atlanta won 95-84, but the Liberty left plenty on the table. New York shot just 24.1% from three and committed 11 turnovers, while Atlanta shot 47.8% overall.

Despite that loss, Breanna Stewart was dominant with 27 points and 14 rebounds, while Jonquel Jones added 18 points and 12 boards. If New York simply gets average production from the perimeter, there is a clear path to flipping Monday’s result.

The Liberty are also 14-7 at home, and the betting market has made them roughly-132 favorites despite Atlanta entering on a four-game winning streak with the better overall record at 29-14. That market respect is noteworthy immediately after an 11-point head-to-head loss.

There’s also precedent for New York beating this opponent convincingly. The season series is tied 1-1, with the Liberty winning the first meeting 104-90 before Atlanta answered 95-84 on Monday.

This is the regular-season finale, and while New York can no longer secure first-round home court, the defending 2024 champions have every reason to enter the playoffs with momentum. Stewart’s intensity is already showing, and I like the veteran core to respond in the immediate rematch.

Liberty travel to Coastal Carolina and the Teal Turf this Thursday in an intriguing matchup... or is it...



Looking at the stats from each team so far this season... on paper Liberty is the stronger side. But looking deeper into the stats, the defenses for both do decent against the Pass and Not so good against the Run. This leads me to feel a rush attack battle and possession game with not alot of points scored.



The line currently sits at 51.5, which isn't a bad line in my opinion, but I always love to see Alt Lines, and I love the odds for under 56.5 at -178. I like that lil extra cushion of a full 8+ touchdowns to be scored, which I do not see happening here with these stingy defenses.



Under 56.5 Total, Ight Bet!

This is a spot where Cal’s offense can create real problems for Clemson. The Golden Bears are averaging 31.3 points per game, compared with only 20.0 for Clemson, and the biggest difference comes through the air. Cal is producing 321.7 passing yards per game, while Clemson is allowing 238 passing yards per contest.

Cal quarterback Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele has already thrown for 866 yards with 7 touchdowns and only 2 interceptions through three games. He’s coming off a dominant 49-7 victory over Wagner and previously led Cal to an important 21-18 road win at Syracuse.

Clemson’s defense has been far from dominant. The Tigers are allowing 419.7 total yards and 26.0 points per game, ranking 116th nationally in total defense according to one current preview. They’ve also surrendered 181.7 rushing yards per game, so Cal should have multiple avenues to move the football.

There are questions surrounding Clemson at quarterback as well. Christopher Vizzina’s availability remains uncertain because of an elbow injury, leaving freshman Tait Reynolds potentially making another start. Reynolds played better against North Carolina, but Clemson's offense has produced just 893 total yards through three games and has already committed five turnovers.

Most importantly, this game is in Berkeley on Friday night. It's Cal's ACC home opener and Clemson’s first-ever trip to California Memorial Stadium, adding another layer to an already difficult cross-country assignment.

The market tells us how close this matchup is. The line has moved around pick’em, with Cal listed anywhere from a slight favorite to a very small underdog depending on the book. In that type of game, I’m willing to trust the home team with the more productive passing attack and the more settled quarterback situation.

This is exactly the type of spot where I want more than a field goal with the home underdog. No. 1 Texas and No. 14 Tennessee both enter 3-0, but the Volunteers get this showdown at Neyland Stadium, where ESPN’s College GameDay will be on site for the noon SEC opener.

Tennessee’s offense has been explosive through three games, averaging 47.7 points and 510.3 yards per game. The biggest weapon has been the ground attack, which ranks 4th nationally at 298.7 rushing yards per game with 11 rushing touchdowns. That gives Tennessee a legitimate way to control possession and keep Texas from dictating the entire game.

The Volunteers have already shown they can produce away from home, beating Georgia Tech 45-24, and they followed that with a 42-9 win over Kennesaw State. Tennessee has scored at least 42 points in all three games this season.

Texas is unquestionably elite, averaging 37.7 points per game while allowing only 12.0, but this will be the Longhorns’ first road game of the season after opening with three straight in Austin. Their upcoming trip to Knoxville also begins a brutal stretch featuring ranked opponents throughout the SEC schedule.

Most importantly, the current market itself suggests +5.5 gives us value. One current model makes the fair spread roughly Texas -3.8, while another market snapshot has Texas around -3.5. We’re getting Tennessee at +5.5, a meaningful cushion beyond those numbers.

Texas may escape Knoxville with the win, but with Tennessee's rushing attack, home-field advantage, and more than a field goal in our pocket, I expect this to be a four-quarter SEC battle.

The Battle of New Mexico



New Mexico vs NMST



And just looking at the stats I feel this will truly be a battle of the New Mexico D vs. NMST O. Because the flip side of this, New Mexico should dominate! I see this being a stingy rivalry game where the Defenses will come to play and keep this total Under 51.5.



New Mexico Defense is one of the better defenses so far this season and should hold their ground. NMST offense could be sneaky though so New Mexico will need to keep up what they have been doing so far this season.



I see a low score affair here in this rivalry...



Give me the Under 51.5, Ight Bet!!!

This is a strong home-underdog spot with two Top-20 programs whose offensive profiles are much closer than the market perception suggests. USC Trojans enter 4-0, while Oregon Ducks are 2-1 after already suffering a 39-31 road loss at Oklahoma State.

USC’s offense has been outstanding, averaging 43.0 points and 500.3 yards per game. QB Jayden Maiava has thrown for 1,173 yards, 12 touchdowns and just one interception, completing 75.7% of his passes. That efficiency gives USC the firepower to trade punches with Oregon for four quarters.

The Trojans have scored 39+ points in all four games, including a 42-35 road victory at Rutgers last week. USC also controls possession for 34:02 per game, ranking 14th nationally, which could be important for keeping Oregon’s explosive offense on the sideline.

Oregon is averaging 49.7 points and 501.3 yards, but those numbers received a huge boost from an 84-0 demolition of Portland State. Against its two FBS opponents before that, Oregon beat Boise State 34-27 and lost 39-31 at Oklahoma State.

Oregon will also be without receiver Jeremiah McClellan, who suffered a broken foot in warmups last week. McClellan had 170 receiving yards and a touchdown through his first two games, removing another weapon from Dante Moore’s offense.

The market movement is another reason I like the number. Oregon was listed as high as-5.5 before moving down to-3, while ESPN Analytics views the matchup much more closely at 54% Oregon and 46% USC.

USC doesn’t need to win. With +3, a field-goal loss gives us a push, and anything better cashes. With the Coliseum behind them and an offense averaging 43 points, I expect the Trojans to be there deep into the fourth quarter.

This total is low, but the quarterback situation gives us a strong reason to believe it can stay there. Seattle is expected to turn to Drew Lock with Sam Darnold sidelined, while current projections also list Marcus Mariota as Washington’s starter. That’s a significant change for both offenses heading into Week 3.

Seattle’s defense is the foundation of the handicap. The Seahawks allowed only 17.2 points per game last season, the best defensive scoring rate among the teams playing this week. Washington, meanwhile, averaged just 20.9 points offensively.

Seattle’s recent offensive production also raises questions. Over the recent sample cited by HOF, the Seahawks rank 30th in combined rushing and receiving yards at 232.5, and Lock is projected for only 93.5 passing yards in this matchup.

The projections are landing right around or below our number. One model has Seattle winning 22-17, while another handicapper estimates the combined scoring in the high 30s and specifically recommends Under 40.5.

With backup quarterbacks potentially controlling both offenses and Seattle possessing the defensive quality to dictate the tempo, I’m expecting field position, rushing attempts and conservative decision-making to define this game.

Chargers +7.5 at Bills

You know I like a dirty dog, and it doesn't get much dirtier than this.

The Chargers look like a mess. They're 0-2 both SU and ATS, and now they travel east to face a Bills team that has won and covered both games. Buffalo leads the league at 38.5 PPG and has scored at least 36 in each outing. They also have extra rest coming off TNF. Josh Allen has been phenomenal, with 9 total TDs and no INTs.

LA's start is historically bad. They're the first team in NFL history to open 0-2 against two clubs that lost 14+ games the prior season. The offense has struggled and mistakes have piled up, including 6 fumbles and 2 interceptions last week.

So why the Chargers? This is a classic buy-low spot.

The line move: The lookahead had Buffalo -2.5. It opened -4.5 and has since crossed a key number. The Bills have heavy backing, so I expect it to keep climbing.
Bills defense: It has been leaky. If LA cleans up the mistakes, Herbert and Omarion Hampton should be able to move the ball.
History: The Chargers have covered 5 of their last 6 vs Buffalo.
Role reversal: LA was favored in both prior games. Now they're the underdog.
The trend: Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points, off a home loss of 10+ in the first month of the season, are 26-6.
Motivation: Harbaugh will have this group ready. They also have a brutal schedule ahead and need to figure it out fast.

Meanwhile, will Buffalo be locked in? I'm not so sure. This is the sandwich game of a 3-game homestand, and they could get comfortable against a struggling team at Highmark. It's a desperate Chargers team against an overconfident Bills team, and we'll back the contrarian side.

Shop for the best number. Take Chargers +7.5.

Let's cash some tickets!