Alyssa Thomas, the Phoenix Mercury’s All-Star forward and 2025 near-MVP candidate, is poised for a dominant rebounding performance in Game 3 of their WNBA first-round playoff series against the New York Liberty tonight (September 19, 2025, at PHX Arena). After Phoenix’s commanding 86-60 Game 2 victory evened the series, the stakes are sky-high, and Thomas’s elite rebounding ability, historical dominance over New York, and clutch playoff mentality make her a lock to surpass 9.5 rebounds.

 

Thomas obliterated the Mercury’s single-season rebounding record in 2025, hauling in 344 boards (64 offensive) over 39 games, averaging 8.8 RPG—third in the WNBA behind only A’ja Wilson and Angel Reese. A true two-way force, she led all forwards with 5.6 defensive rebounds per game and ranked 15th league-wide with 2.0 offensive rebounds, fueling second-chance points. Down the stretch, she elevated her game, averaging 9.2 RPG over her final 10 regular-season contests, hitting double-digit boards in six while logging 31+ minutes. In the playoffs, Thomas is even fiercer, boasting a career 8.5 RPG with multiple 15+ rebound performances.

 

Against the Liberty, Thomas is a matchup nightmare, especially in Phoenix. Across four regular-season games this year (3-1 Mercury), she averaged an eye-popping 20.3 combined rebounds and assists, clearing 18+ in three matchups. Her relentless energy and physicality overwhelm New York’s frontcourt.

 

With Game 3 an elimination showdown, Thomas’s clutch gene kicks into overdrive. In her last three winner-take-all playoff games, she’s averaged 9.9 RPG, including a 15-rebound triple-double against the Liberty in the 2023 semifinals. Coach Nate Tibbetts trusts her in high-pressure moments, often playing her 35+ minutes, where she’s a rebounding juggernaut—grabbing 10+ boards in 60% of games with 34+ minutes this season.

 

Thomas doesn’t just rebound; she dominates the glass with unmatched intensity. Expect her to feast tonight.

Take Alyssa Thomas To Record Over 9.5 Rebounds (-115)

Let’s cash some tickets!

Share play

Premium picks from Tom Macrina

Ready to slam dunk your betting game? Tom’s NBA Betting Picks are your ticket to winning big this season! With his razor-sharp analysis, insider knowledge, and proven track record, Tom’s picks are hotter than a courtside seat at the Finals. Bet smart. Win big. Trust Tom. Let's cash some tickets!

Sign Up Now

Get picks directly to your inbox

Gamble Responsibly. Gambling involves risk.
If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call the National Problem Gambling Hotline.
1-800-522-4700 | ncpgambling.org