The 0-2 Houston Texans, desperate to notch their first win, face the 1-1 Jacksonville Jaguars in a pivotal divisional matchup. Kicker Ka’imi Fairbairn stands out as a prime fantasy pick due to Houston’s red-zone struggles, Jacksonville’s defensive tendencies, and his own proven reliability. Fairbairn is tied for the NFL lead with three 50+ yard field goals through two games in 2025, showcasing his leg strength and clutch performance. He went 3-for-3 in Week 1 and is averaging 2.0 made field goals (FGM) per game this season. Last year, he cleared 1.5 FGM in 79% of his games (15/19), averaging 2.2 FGM, and in divisional matchups, he’s hit 2+ FGM in 7 of 10 career starts.
Houston’s offense, while potent, has been inefficient in the red zone, converting only 48% of trips into touchdowns (below the NFL average of 55%) and settling for field goals on 40% of red-zone drives in 2025. This sets up Fairbairn for 2-3 field goal attempts in a game likely to feature stalled drives. Meanwhile, Jacksonville’s defense has been vulnerable, allowing 2.4 opponent field goal attempts per game last season (top-10 worst) and surrendering 2+ FGs in 60% of divisional games since 2023. With the Texans’ defense holding opponents to 17.0 points per game (9th in the NFL), this game projects as a low-scoring, field-goal-heavy affair. Fairbairn, a consistent force on Houston’s special teams, is a high-confidence play to exceed 1.5 FGM.
Take Ka’Imi Fairbairn To Record Over 1.5 Field Goals -129
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