MLB Free Play (967) New York Yankees vs. (968) Houston Astros
Even with two quality starters on the mound, recent form points to runs. The Yankees lead MLB in runs per game and home runs, and their lineup has consistently produced against both lefties and righties. Houston, while streaky, has shown they can break out for big totals at home, scoring seven or more in three of their last seven contests. Valdez’s inconsistency and Fried’s occasional command lapses raise the likelihood of crooked innings. With active Yankees batting .300 lifetime off of Valdez, and active Astros hitting .299 off Fried, the over is the play. 
Pick: Over 7.5 (-120) @Circa, MGM

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