NFL – FREE PLAY: Saints (459) vs. Bears (460)

This is a play on the NEW ORLEANS SAINTS for our Sunday Free Play. The Saints are coming off a loss against the Patriots last week as while they are now 1-5, they have actually played better than that record shows. They are getting outscored by 8.2 ppg overall and that is skewed mostly from a 44-13 loss at Seattle back in Week Three. Three of the other four losses were by one possession with the exception being a 12-point loss against Buffalo but that was just a two-point game midway through the fourth quarter. New Orleans is getting outgained by only 22 ypg and are in a buy low spot here. Chicago is coming off an upset win over Washington which was its third straight win with a bye included in there as well so the Bears have not lost in a month which puts them in the sell high spot. At 3-2, the Bears are an inflated favorite and easily could be 1-4 right now and despite the winning record, they are getting outgained by 30.8 ppg. The offense has started to come around but the defense remains an issue as the Bears are allowing 28.2 ppg and cannot stop the run, giving up 5.7 ypc which is second worst in the NFL. Here, we play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points outscored by opponents by seven or more ppg, after a loss by 6 or less points. This situation is 99-54 ATS (64.7 percent) since 1983. Play (459) New Orleans Saints