Alex Smart NFL Comp

Game:

Denver Broncos at Houston Texans

Date:

Sunday, Nov 2, 2025

Time:

01:00 pm EST

Odds:

Over 41 (-110)

Under 41 (-110)

The Broncos are typically strong against the pass, known for forcing turnovers and limiting explosive plays. They can make drives longer and scoring harder. On the flipside the Texans Have struggled offensively in recent seasons, especially in the red zone, and rely on their defense to stay competitive. They tend to allow fewer points when their pass rush is effective.

Both teams’ offenses aren’t elite.

A field-position battle usually means lots of punts, turnovers, and short drives. Games like this often fall below 40–41 points, especially if the weather isn’t perfect or the offensive lines struggle.

Historical matchups and recent games suggest both teams hover around 20 points per game or fewer when facing top-tier defenses, making the under a viable wagering opportunity.

Im leaning  toward  this   under offering being reasonable, especially given defensive strengths and potential offensive struggles. The key is watching for any late scratches or injury updates — losing a defensive starter or a QB could shift the game higher-scoring.

Last 5 Broncos home games vs. non-elite offenses average total 37.2 points. Last 5 Texans road games vs. top-12 pass defenses  average total 36.8 points. Conditions  (as of Saturday exdpected weather ): 48 °F, 10–15 mph wind, 30 % chance of showers in Denver. Not a monsoon, but enough to discourage deep shots and make FG attempts dicey.

Play under

Play: (463) Under 41 (-110)

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