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Wry or Die Free Play
Game:
Utah State Aggies at Hawaii Rainbow Warriors
Date:
Saturday, Oct 11, 2025
Time:
11:59 pm EDT
Television:
SPEC
Odds:
Utah State Aggies -119
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors -101
#205 Utah State vs. #206 Hawaii
Date & Time: Midnight, Sunday, October 12, 2025
Location: Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex, Honolulu, HI Game Preview and Betting Analysis Utah State Aggies (3-2 SU, 5-0 ATS)
Date & Time: Midnight, Sunday, October 12, 2025
Location: Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex, Honolulu, HI Game Preview and Betting Analysis Utah State Aggies (3-2 SU, 5-0 ATS)
- Offense: Averaging 36.4 points per game (PPG), Utah State boasts a dynamic attack with 14 passing and 11 rushing touchdowns. They rank 60th in FBS with 168.8 rushing yards per game.
- Defense: Allowing 413.0 total yards per game (114th in FBS), they’ve surrendered 11 passing and 9 rushing touchdowns. Turnovers are minimal, with only 4 giveaways.
- Recent Performance: Coming off a 55-35 loss to Vanderbilt, but their ATS record is a perfect 5-0 overall (2-0 on the road).
- Against Hawaii: Utah State has dominated the series, winning the last 8 meetings and covering the spread in 7 of those.
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (3-2 SU, 4-1 ATS)
- Offense: Averaging 25.7 PPG (86th in FBS), with 275.5 passing yards per game (32nd nationally) but only 93.3 rushing yards per game. They’ve thrown 7 interceptions and lost 5 fumbles.
- Defense: Allowing 23.5 points per game, with 368.8 total yards per game (80th in FBS).
- Recent Performance: Fresh off a 44-35 upset win over Air Force, Hawaii is 3-1 ATS at home. However, penalties are a major issue, with 404 penalty yards on 45 infractions (5th-most in FBS).
Betting Insights
- Line Analysis: The current line appears undervalued for Utah State, who transitioned from underdog to favorite. Their historical dominance over Hawaii (8 straight wins, 7 covers) suggests they’re being underrated.
- Game Outlook: The high total points line indicates a potential shootout, but Utah State’s balanced and explosive offense (36.4 PPG) should outpace Hawaii’s less consistent attack. Hawaii’s penalty issues and turnover woes (12 total giveaways) could prove costly against a Utah State team that protects the ball well.
- Prediction: Utah State’s offensive firepower and series dominance make them the likely winner, with a strong chance to cover the spread. Hawaii may struggle to keep up in a high-scoring affair.
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Play: (205) Utah State Aggies -119
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