For my top free pick on Friday, I’m focusing on the Boise State Broncos versus the Nevada Wolfpack. Coming off three challenging games, Boise State secured an impressive 56-31 blowout victory against previously undefeated UNLV. Nevada has a strong recent history against the spread (ATS), covering three of the last four matchups against Boise State and seven of their last ten overall. However, Nevada’s recent ATS performance, with only two covers in their last six games, may deter bettors. Conversely, Boise State’s 5-0-1 ATS record in their last six games is likely to draw significant betting action. I expect a competitive game, potentially tied at halftime, but Boise State should pull away for the win. Nevada, with the points, offers great value for an easy cover.
**Play: Nevada Wolfpack + points (Rotation #118)**
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