While it’s challenging to bet against Kyle Larson at his current odds, the value lies in backing the underdog, William Byron, at +100. The HLB model predicts Byron as the winner at Darlington, supported by his exceptional performance in the Next Gen era at this track. Since the introduction of the Next Gen car, Byron boasts the best average finish (9.1), the highest driver rating, the best average running position, and the most laps run inside the top 10 (1,367) and top 5 (1,041) at Darlington. In the spring 2025 race, he started from pole, led a commanding 243 laps, won both stages, and finished second, demonstrating his dominance. With such a strong track record, Byron offers compelling value as an underdog, needing only to outperform one other driver to deliver. Let’s cash some tickets!
Take William Byron Over Kyle Larson +100
