(9/27) CFB Free Play (173) UCF Knights vs. (174) Kansas State Wildcats

Kansas State has been a disappointment to start the season at 1-3 SU and 0-4 ATS all of them as favorites. Their only win so far was a 38-35 home win against North Dakota from the FCS ranks. They have been outplayed in every game. Kansas State’s offense has not been able to run the football as well as expected with RB Dylan Edwards also banged up and questionable to suit up here. Wildcats QB Avery Johnson has not improved one iota from last season as a passer as he continues to be plagued by inaccuracy and inconsistency at the position. The defense has struggled particularly against the pass which could spell trouble here as the UCF offense and the passing game has taken off and been much better since Tayven Jackson replaced an injured Cam Fancher at QB for the Knights. The Knights defense is getting better each week and have yielded just 19 points in two games combined against FBS competition. That is trouble for a struggling Kansas State offense not to mention the fact the Knights are only giving up 3.4 yards per carry which plays in to the strength of the Wildcats offense. UCF is a live underdog in this one and I expect them to challenge to win this game outright from start to finish against a reeling squad still searching for their first pointspread cover of the season and their first straight up win of the season against an FBS foe.

Pick: UCF +5.5 -105