Shakir enters Week 3 as Buffalo’s most reliable and efficient target, especially in the slot, where he excels against zone coverage—a staple of the Dolphins’ defensive coordinator. In Week 1 against the Ravens, Shakir ran routes on 82.7% of dropbacks, saw 8 targets (catching 6 for 64 yards), and generated significant separation as a first-read option on 12% of Allen’s throws. His Week 2 output dipped to just 1 catch for 12 yards on 2 targets against the Jets—a game where the Bills leaned heavily on the run (Allen threw for only 148 yards total) and Shakir’s route rate dropped to 54.8% due to matchup-specific scheming. This was an anomaly. Shakir has thrived against Miami, clearing 41.5 receiving yards in 3 straight head-to-head games, including a 100+ yard outing in one of them. Last season, he combined for 54 and 92 yards across two meetings with the Dolphins, averaging 2.68 yards per route run (YPRR) against their zone-heavy schemes. He’s also cleared 41.5 yards in both of his previous Thursday Night Football games (54 and 92 yards), adding to the spot’s appeal. We’ll back Shakir to go over this number Thursday against a bad Dolphins defense. Let’s cash some tickets!
