Featured Game: Georgia Bulldogs (-3.5, 49.5) vs. Tennessee Volunteers
Time: 3:30pm ET /12:30pm PT
Television: ABC, ESPN Unlimited
This total opened 50.5 and has already been bet down, sitting 50 at most books and even 49.5 at a few shops — clear early action on the under. Both teams are 2-0 against cupcakes, but this week they finally step into real SEC football.
Tennessee has gone over the total in both wins this season, but Georgia has absolutely owned this series — the Bulldogs are 8-2 SU and ATS in the last 10 meetings. That said, Tennessee should be as motivated as ever, not just because of that history but also with Georgia having Alabama on deck. A little look-ahead factor could sneak in, and the Vols’ defense is good enough to take advantage.
Quarterback play will be tested here. Gunner Stockton has looked sharp with an 82.1 QBR (16th nationally), while Joey Aguilar sits at 68.7 QBR. Both have feasted on soft opponents so far, but now they’re about to see what true SEC defenses look like.
And don’t forget, Georgia only put up 28 points on Austin Peay last week. Maybe they were coasting, but it still raises a red flag about this offense being a little flat out of the gates.
With Tennessee’s motivation, Georgia possibly looking ahead, and both quarterbacks facing their first real defensive test of the season, this one sets up as a dogfight. I like the under in Athens.
Pick: Under 49.5
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