NCAAF – FREE PLAY: Ole Miss (391) vs. Georgia (392)

This is a play on the GEORGIA BULLDOGS for our Saturday Free Play. Mississippi was caught in an unexpected dogfight last week as Washington St. hit the scoreboard first late in the first quarter to take a 7-0 lead and the Rebels did not get into the endzone until 31 seconds remaining in the second quarter. The Rebels outgained Washington St. 439-345 but did run 11 more plays and while it may have been guilty of a lookahead, this has been an issue all season. Wins over Kentucky, Arkansas and LSU were all by one possession. Georgia is coming off a narrow win over Auburn and while 10 points might not seem narrow, the Bulldogs outgained the Tigers only 296-277 and 4.3 to 4.1. That might not give us a ton of confidence but that was on the road and Georgia returns home with revenge in mind after losing 28-10 in Oxford last season. The Bulldogs have played the No. 10 ranked schedule and are still no. 25 in Offensive EPA and No. 19 in Success Rate and will be facing a defense that is not on the same level as last year. Here, we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points after two or more consecutive straight up wins, in a game involving two teams with winning percentage of .800 or better. This situation is 49-19 ATS (72.1 percent) since 2016. Play (392) Georgia Bulldogs