Featured Match-up: Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Iowa State Cyclones (-3.5 / 42.5) 

While the consensus may favor Iowa State, my model leans toward Iowa as the road underdog. Iowa’s lackluster performance against Albany, where they failed to cover, suggests they treated it as a tune-up game, likely holding back their playbook with this rivalry matchup against Iowa State on the horizon. Meanwhile, Iowa State impressed as underdogs against Kansas State and cruised past South Dakota in a predictable blowout. However, history adds intrigue: last season, Iowa State handed Iowa their only home loss, leading by as many as 13 points, and the road team has won the last five meetings in this series. Expect another tight, competitive game. Iowa, as the road underdog, has the potential not only to keep it close but to steal a win late. Let’s cash some tickets!

Pick: Iowa +3.5

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