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CFB Saturday Free Play
Game:
Missouri State Bears at Liberty Flames
Date:
Saturday, Nov 8, 2025
Time:
01:00 pm EST
Odds:
Missouri State Bears +8 (-110)
Liberty Flames -8 (-110)
Liberty is 7-17 ATS in its last 24 games. So if there is a way to fade the Flames, I am on board such as going against them this week against Missouri State.
The oddsmaker is overrating the Flames here because Liberty has won three in a row. Those three victories, though, were against bad teams – Delaware, New Mexico State and UTEP.
Missouri State averages more yards per game than Liberty and has a much better run defense. The Bears are giving up nearly 40 fewer rushing yards per game than the Flames. The Bears also average nearly 60 passing yards more per game.
Behind seventh-year quarterback Jacob Clark, the Bears have the third best passing offense in Conference USA. Clark is savvy enough to mix in both the run and pass keeping Liberty off balance.
Missouri State’s season statistics are skewed because of its first game, a 73-10 road loss to USC. Since then, the Bears have permitted just 20.4 points per game in seven games. They are 5-2 ATS during this span.
A straight-up victory against Liberty would not surprise.
Play: (157) Missouri State Bears +8 (-110)
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